Guides & Resources
How each decision gets made, how my models forecast it, and what's going on this cycle.
Each category has a guide to the real process, a guide to how my model forecasts it, and a page tracking the current cycle. If the decision is new to you, start with the process guide, since the others assume you've read it.
Bracketology
The Process
How the Field Gets Built
The 12 people on the selection committee, the seven metrics on every team sheet, quadrant records, the 1 to 76 seed list, and what the expanded field changes.
Read Guide
76-Team Era
This Cycle
2026 Bracketology Watch
What is shaping the field this season. The first 76-team cycle, the conference map after realignment, and where the preseason numbers have teams.
Read Guide
2026 Season
Reference
How Bracket Studio's Scoring Works
Why I grade seed accuracy instead of wins, how the Paymon Scoring System scores a finished bracket, and what a good score looks like.
Read Guide
456 Possible
How-To
The Bracket Studio Guide
A full walkthrough of Bracket Studio, covering drag-and-drop placement, Auto-Seed, Compare, saved slots, sharing and keyboard shortcuts.
Read Guide
Studio How-To
How-To
Scoring Your Bracket
How to score a finished bracket against the real field with the Bracket Performance Calculator, and how to read your summary.
Read Guide
Studio How-To
Reference
A Glossary of Bracketology Terms
Plain definitions of NET, quad records, the seed list, WAB, automatic qualifiers, bubble tiers and everything else on a team sheet.
Read Guide
Reference
Once you know the criteria, see how my bracket scored against the real field
Hall of Fame
The Process
How the Hall of Fame Vote Works
Twenty-five voting selectors, one category, every cut from the nomination list down to a 15-name slate, and the 80 percent threshold inside the room. Rewritten for the process that takes effect with the Class of 2027.
Read Guide
New Rules 2027
The Process
What Changed in the Hall of Fame Vote
The September 2026 overhaul, old process next to new: the committee halved, the senior category eliminated, one slate of 15, and what all of it does to a model built on the old rules.
Read Guide
What Changed
This Cycle
The Next HoF Class
Who is in line for the Class of 2027, the first decided under the Hall's overhauled rules. Nothing carries over from last cycle any more, and seven first-year names arrive at once.
Read Guide
Class of 2027
The Model
How the HoF Worthiness Model Works
How HoFW scores every player against a 100-point bar for their position, why pre-1999 careers are excluded from training, and how it validates against every class since 2005.
Read Guide
0.999 AUC
Once you know the vote, see how closely HoFW tracks it, class by class
Academy Awards
The Process
How the Academy Votes
Branch nominations, the preferential ballot, why Best Picture is counted differently from every other category, and every confirmed date for the 99th Oscars.
Read Guide
99th Oscars
This Cycle
This Year's Contenders
The films and performances shaping the race to the 99th Oscars, from the Cannes results through the fall festival slate.
Read Guide
Current Season
The Model
How the Oscars Forecast Model Works
Why the guild awards dominate the model, how the three-stage pipeline adds signal through the season, and how the accuracy numbers are tested on years the model never saw.
Read Guide
79% · Core 6, 1997+
Once you know the ballot, see how the model scored across 30 years of ceremonies