Modeling the world's most famous decisions.
Twelve people pick the NCAA field. Twenty-five pick the Hall of Fame class. About 10,000 pick the Oscars. None of them show their work, so I built models that try to.
Closed rooms pick the NCAA field, the Hall of Fame class and the Oscars. My models show their work.
Today's forecasts
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- Paymon score
- 374/408
- My 2026 bracket · 68-team format
- Hall of Famers who clear the bar
- 80/85
- Inductees with complete careers
- Oscar winners called
- 79%
- Core 6 categories · 1997+ · each year held out
- On Bracket Matrix
- 16 yrs
- Top 10 globally at my best
Context, then cases, then you.
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Learn the process
Who is in the room and what they look at.
The voters, the criteria and the calendar, in plain English, before any model shows up.
Read a guide -
See it applied
What the room weighs, run through real cases.
The model works through this year's candidates and every past year, so you can see how it did. Each forecast links to how it's built.
See a forecast -
Build in the studio
Your turn.
Build your own bracket, class or ballot from the same data the model uses. Save it, share it, and see how it scores when the real answer comes out.
Open a studio
Who's behind it
I'm Grant Hansell. I started filling out bracket projections because working out how the selection committee thinks was its own kind of fun, and I kept at it long enough that Bracket Matrix, at my best, ranked my projections in the global top ten. The Round Robin is what happened when I decided to build the tool I'd always wanted, and use it to model the Hall of Fame and the Oscars too.
I'm one person. I use AI to do work that used to take a whole team, which is how I keep three models running and keep shipping new tools on my own. It's open to everyone now.
Read the About page