Modeling the world's most famous decisions.

I publish my NCAA bracket and models for the Hall of Fame and Oscars. Explore the evidence behind each forecast, then build your own bracket, class or ballot.

My NCAA bracket, models for the Hall of Fame and Oscars, and tools to make your own picks.

See what’s live How it works

  1. The NCAA field

    Twelve committee members pick 76 of the 365 Division I teams. Thirty-two get in automatically, and the other 44 spots come down to how the room reads each résumé.

    See my bracket

  2. The Hall of Fame class

    Fifteen finalists go into the room. The selectors cut them to ten, then to seven, and each of the last seven needs 80% of the vote to get in.

    See the forecast

  3. Best Picture

    About 10,000 Academy members rank the ten nominees. The last-place film drops out each round and its ballots move to each voter's next choice, until one film holds more than half.

    See the forecast

Today's forecasts

Adrian Peterson is the likeliest name in the Class of 2027, at 83%.

Pro Football Hall of Fame · Class of 2027 · the model Selection · Feb 8

Each dot is a player’s chance of going in this year. The model expects 4.2 players, plus about 1.2 seats held for a coach and a contributor.

  • Adrian Peterson RB · MIN · 83%
  • Rob Gronkowski TE · NE · 63%
  • Antonio Brown WR · PIT · 45%
  • Kevin Williams DT · MIN · 35%

Photos via Wikimedia Commons: Mike Morbeck (CC BY-SA 2.0); Wellslogan (CC BY-SA 3.0); Keith Allison (CC BY-SA 2.0); Shawn Ford (CC BY-SA 2.0). Not endorsed by the players or the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

Chance of the Class of 2027. Bright marks are the players the model’s queue seats; Class is the year it projects each player in.

Select a name for the case behind the number.

Election requires 20 of 25 votes. A name’s detail also gives the chance of ever being inducted.

See the forecast → Build your ballot →
Updated Nov 9 How the model is tested

The record

My bracket results and the Oscars model’s historical tests.

How the forecasts work →
Paymon score
374/408
My 2026 bracket · 68-team format
Scored line by line →
Oscar winner hit rate
74%
Picture, Director and acting · 1997+ · each year held out
How it was tested →
On Bracket Matrix
16 yrs
Top 10 globally at my best
Every year, graded →

Make your own forecast

  1. Learn the process

    See who votes and how the ballots get counted.

    Read a guide

  2. Explore the forecast

    Compare this season's candidates and see how my bracket and the models have performed.

    See a forecast

  3. Build in the studio

    Compare candidates, make your picks, and share a link to your finished bracket or ballot.

    Open a studio

More on how the site works

Who's behind it

I'm Grant Hansell. I've been building brackets for sixteen seasons. When CBS removed the side-by-side team comparison I used, I missed it enough to build my own. That became Bracket Studio, and eventually The Round Robin.

Read the About page
Years in Bracket Matrix16
Best RankingTop 10 Global