The Bracket Forecast
My bracket, seed line by seed line. Open a team for its published metrics and full team sheet. See how my latest men's bracket scored.
NET: NCAA. KPI: Kevin Pauga. SOR and BPI: ESPN. WAB: NCAA team sheets. KenPom: Ken Pomeroy, kenpom.com. T-Rank: Bart Torvik. Shown as published; none of these is my own rating.
What the numbers can't see
Who was availableA team's record doesn't tell you who missed a game. Injuries and player availability need context beyond the rankings.
The eye test and the roomTwelve people argue it out for a week. How a team looked in February, and who in the room makes its case, moves bubble teams.
The bracketing rulesGeography, conference separation and rematches pull teams off their true line after the seed list is set.