The Next Hall of Fame Class
The model’s projected class, with each player’s estimated chance of eventual induction.
Model limitations
Career records cannot capture selectors' arguments or priorities. The model's tests use outcomes under the previous rules, so they cannot establish how well it will predict the new process.
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Coach résumés
Coach Score compares each coach's regular-season wins minus losses. 100 is the average for Hall of Fame coaches at election. It does not give an induction chance; the class forecast holds coach and contributor spots separately.
Coaches who were only ever assistants, like Alex Gibbs, get no score. It counts head-coach wins and losses only, so assistant work, innovations and results in other leagues are left out. How Coach Score works
Contributors
Not scoredA contributor's case can rest on ownership, scouting, advocacy or a playing and coaching career, and those don't share a scale, so there is no score. These are the facts the Hall published for each nominee.
Backtest · AUC-ROC 0.997 · Real classes · 2005-2026 · ranking test on held-out players · pre-overhaul process How the model works: features, tiers, validation, and what it cannot see