The Next Hall of Fame Class
Who makes the next class, according to the model, to my own ballot, and to yours. Hall of Fame
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Every projected class through 2041 · The player database · Build your own class
The record
The base model is cross-validated on held-out player rows against induction outcomes from the Hall's pre-2027 process. Published scores use the final full-history fit.
AUC-ROC
0.998
real inductee vs. non-inductee, ranked correctly · 85 real inductees in the fit · pre-overhaul process
Ballot-calibrated AUC
0.788
among the 79 players who reached the ballot
Training set
—
modeled players in the fit
Real Hall of Famers that clear my bar
80
score Borderline tier or better on my model's own scale · 5 fall short
How the model works: features, tiers, validation, and what it cannot see