The NCAA tournament field
Twelve committee members pick and seed 76 teams over a week of closed sessions, for the men's and the women's tournaments.
I compare team résumés to predict the field and seed list. You can see my bracket beside the published metrics and compare it with one you build in the studio.
The Pro Football Hall of Fame class
Twenty-five selectors cut a long nomination list down to a finalist slate, and a finalist needs 80 percent of the room to get in.
The HoFW model compares players with Hall members at the same position. A separate forecast estimates eventual induction and simulates the queue for each class. A strong career can still face a long wait.
The Academy Awards
About 10,000 Academy members vote, branch by branch for nominations and all together for the winners, on ballots nobody outside ever sees.
The model uses the evidence available at each stage of the season, from film and festival history to guild results. Its historical tests leave out the ceremony being predicted.